Probability Group of functions defined on Loss and Gain includes the following functions:

 

Full Name

Brief Name

Short Description

Probability of Exceedance

pr_pen

Probability that Linear Loss  exceeds some fixed threshold.

Probability of Exceedance for Gain

pr_pen_g

Probability that Linear -(Loss ) exceeds some fixed threshold.

Probability of Exceedance Normal Independent

pr_pen_ni

Probability that Linear Loss  exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with independent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance  for Gain Normal Independent

pr_pen_ni_g

Probability that Linear -(Loss ) exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with independent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance  for Loss Normal Dependent

pr_pen_nd

Probability that Linear Loss  exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with mutually dependent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance for Gain Normal Dependent

pr_pen_nd_g

Probability that Linear -(Loss ) exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with mutually dependent normally distributed random coefficients

Probability of Exceedance Deviation

pr_dev

Probability that (Loss)-(Average Loss) exceeds some fixed threshold.

Probability of Exceedance Deviation for Gain

pr_dev_g

Probability that -(Loss)+(Average Loss) exceeds some fixed threshold.

Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Normal Independent

pr_ni_dev

Probability that  (Loss)-(Average Loss) exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with independent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance Deviation for Gain Normal Independent

pr_ni_dev_g

Probability that -(Loss)+(Average Loss) exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with independent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Normal Dependent

pr_nd_dev

Probability that  (Loss)-(Average Loss) exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with mutually dependent normally distributed random coefficients

Probability of Exceedance Deviation for Gain Normal Dependent

pr_nd_dev_g

Probability that  -(Loss)+(Average Loss) exceeds some fixed threshold  for the Loss with mutually dependent normally distributed random coefficients

Average Probability of Exceedance Normal Independent

avg_pr_pen_ni

Consider a mixture of (random) Linear Loss functions with positive weights summing up to one. Coefficients in all  Linear Loss functions are independent normally distributed random values. Average Probability of Exceedance Normal Independent is a weighted sum of Probability of Exceedance  Normal functions over all Loss functions in the mixture. The weighs in the sum are taken from the mixture of Loss functions.

Average Probability of Exceedance  for Gain Normal Independent

avg_pr_pen_ni_g

Consider a mixture of (random) Linear Loss functions with positive weights summing up to one. Coefficients in all  Linear Loss functions are independent normally distributed random values. Average Probability of Exceedance for Gain Normal Independent is a weighted sum of Probability of Exceedance for Gain Normal Independent functions over all Loss functions in the mixture. The weighs in the sum are taken from the mixture of Loss functions.

Average Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Normal Independent

avg_pr_ni_dev

Consider a mixture of (random) Linear Loss functions with positive weights summing up to one. Coefficients in all  Linear Loss functions are independent normally distributed random values. Average Probability of Exceedance Deviation Normal Independent is a weighted sum of Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Normal Independent functions over all Loss functions in the mixture. The weighs in the sum are taken from the mixture of Loss functions.

Probability of Exceedance Multiple

prmulti_pen

There are  Linear Loss scenario functions (every Linear Loss  scenario function is defined by a Matrix of Scenarios). A new Maximum Loss scenarios function is calculated by maximizing losses over  Linear Loss functions (over M functions for every scenario).  Probability of Exceedance Multiple is the Probability of Exceedance of the Maximum Loss scenarios. (Probability of Exceedance Multiple) = 1-(Probability that all  Linear Loss functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance for Gain Multiple

prmulti_pen_g

There are  Linear Loss scenario functions (every Linear Loss  scenario function is defined by a Matrix of Scenarios). A new Maximum -Loss scenarios function is calculated by maximizing losses over -Loss functions (over M functions for every scenario).  Probability of Exceedance for Gain Multiple is Probability of Exceedance  of the Maximum -Loss scenarios. (Probability of Exceedance for Gain Multiple) = 1-(Probability that all  Linear -(Loss) functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance Multiple Normal Independent

prmulti_pen_ni

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions with independent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance Multiple Normal Independent = 1-(Probability that all M Linear Loss functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance for Gain Multiple Normal Independent

prmulti_pen_ni_g

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions with independent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance for Gain Multiple Normal Independent = 1-(Probability that all M -(Loss) functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance Multiple Normal Dependent

prmulti_pen_nd

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions with mutually dependent normally distributed random coefficients. Probability of Exceedance Multiple Normal Dependent = 1-(Probability that all M Linear Loss functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance for Gain Multiple Normal Dependent

prmulti_pen_nd_g

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions with mutually dependent normally distributed random coefficients. Probability of Exceedance for Gain Multiple Normal Dependent = 1-(Probability that all M -(Loss) functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Multiple

prmulti_dev

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions (every Linear Loss scenario function is defined by a Matrix of Scenarios). A new Maximum Deviation Multiple scenarios function is calculated by maximizing losses over (Loss)-(Average Loss) functions (over M functions for every scenario). Probability of Exceedance Deviation Multiple is the Probability of Exceedance of the Maximum Maximum Deviation Multiple scenarios. (Probability of Exceedance Deviaiont Multiple) = 1-(Probability that all M (Loss)-(Average Loss)  functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance Deviation for Gain Multiple

prmulti_dev_g

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions (every Linear Loss scenario function is defined by a Matrix of Scenarios). A new Maximum Deviation for Gain Multiple scenarios function is calculated by maximizing losses over -(Loss)+(Average Loss) functions (over M functions for every scenario). Probability of Exceedance Deviation for Gain Multiple is the Probability of Exceedance of the Maximum Maximum Deviation for Gain Multiple scenarios. (Probability of Exceedance Penalty for Gain Multiple) = 1-(Probability that all M -(Loss)+(Average Loss)  functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Multiple Normal Independent

prmulti_ni_dev

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions with independent normally distributed random coefficients.

Probability of Exceedance Deviation Multiple Normal Independent = 1-(Probability that all M (Loss)-(Average Loss) functions are below the threshold).

Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Multiple Normal Dependent

prmulti_nd_dev

There are M Linear Loss scenario functions with mutually dependent normally distributed random coefficients. Probability of Exceedance Deviation Multiple Normal Dependent = 1-(Probability that all M (Loss)-(Average Loss) functions are below the threshold).

Buffered Probability of Exceedance

bpoe

(1-confidence_level) of CVaR for Linear Loss if threshold less than average loss and  (1-confidence_level) of CVaR of gains otherwise.  

Probability of Exceedance Recourse

pr_pen(recourse(.))

Probability that Recourse scenarios function exceeds some fixed threshold.  Recourse scenarios are obtained by solving LP at the second stage of two-stage stochastic programming problem for every scenario.

Probability of Exceedance  for Gain Recourse

pr_pen_g(recourse(.))

Probability that -(Recourse) scenarios function exceeds some fixed threshold.  Recourse scenarios are obtained by solving LP at the second stage of two-stage stochastic programming problem for every scenario.

Probability of Exceedance Deviation  Recourse

pr_dev(recourse(.))

Probability that (Recourse)-(Average Recourse) scenarios function exceeds some fixed threshold.  Recourse scenarios are obtained by solving LP at the second stage of two-stage stochastic programming problem for every scenario.

Probability of Exceedance Deviation for Gain Recourse

pr_dev_g(recourse(.))

Probability that -(Recourse)+(Average Recourse) scenarios function exceeds some fixed threshold.  Recourse scenarios are obtained by solving LP at the second stage of two-stage stochastic programming problem for every scenario.

 

Remarks

1.Threshold w may be any real number.
2.Functions from the Probability group are calculated with double precision.
3.Any function from this group may be called by its "brief name" or by "brief name" with "optional name"
The optional name of any function from this group may contain up to 128 symbols.
Optional names of these functions may include only alphabetic characters, numbers, and the underscore sign, "_".
Optional names of these functions are "insensitive" to the case, i.e. there is no difference between low case and upper case in these names.